Question
Will a nuclear device with a yield above 1kt be detonated anywhere on Earth in 2019?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters47
Community Prediction
31%
(25% - 35%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
49.0
Community Peer Score
-0.1
Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2018
Resolves:Dec 31, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 11, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2018
Resolves:Dec 31, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 11, 2018