Question
When will be the first year that the 2˚C climate threshold is crossed?
Total Forecasters133
Community Prediction
Jan 2043
(Jan 2035 - Jan 2054)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <Dec 2019 | 1.9% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Jan 2035 | — |
| median | Jan 2043 | — |
| upper 75% | Jan 2054 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 6.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 26, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 27, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Nov 26, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 27, 2018