M

Question

Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?

Resolved :Yes
11
17
Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction44%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 44%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-17.1
Community Peer Score
11.4
median 44.0%mean 40.7%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
Iowa Electronic Markets
Intrade
Super Tuesday
Brier score
Data analysis
Statistics
Forecasting
PredictIt
Nate Silver

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