Group

Conditional on the number of states with EV building code requirements in 2025, what will be the number of public charging stations in 2027?

Forecast Timeline

> 16

≤ 16

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	25th	median	75th
> 16	85.9k ...	111k ...	140k ...
≤ 16	70.8k ...	92.4k ...	114k ...

My Prediction

community

<30k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1M

...

7.2%

85.85k

110.6k

140.2k

0.1%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Environmental science

Automotive industry in the US

Solar energy

Building code

United States

Conditional on the number of public charging stations, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

49.4

Conditional on the disbursement before 2027 of at least $3.75 billion for the NEVI Formula Program, what will be the number of public charging stations in 2027?

110k

Conditional on the disbursement of $1.8 billion in grants for charging infrastructure before 2027, what will be the number of public charging stations in 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Environmental science

Automotive industry in the US

Solar energy

Building code

United States

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Conditional on the number of public charging stations, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

49.4

Conditional on the disbursement before 2027 of at least $3.75 billion for the NEVI Formula Program, what will be the number of public charging stations in 2027?

110k

Conditional on the disbursement of $1.8 billion in grants for charging infrastructure before 2027, what will be the number of public charging stations in 2027?