Question

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

12 comments12

Total Forecasters57

Community Prediction50%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Federal Security Service

Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty

List of states with nuclear weapons

Central Intelligence Agency

Secret Intelligence Service

China

United Kingdom

India

International Atomic Energy Agency

Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization

Will there be 10 or more nuclear-armed states at any time before 2035?

72%

How many nuclear weapon states will there be in 2030?

Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Federal Security Service

Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty

List of states with nuclear weapons

Central Intelligence Agency

Secret Intelligence Service

China

United Kingdom

India

International Atomic Energy Agency

Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization

North Korea offers rare glimpse into secretive facility used for uranium — as Kim Jong Un calls for ‘exponentially’ more nukes

New York Post•Sep 13, 2024

Biden’s Legacy: the Decline of Arms Control and Disarmament

CounterPunch•Sep 13, 2024

North Korea releases rare glimpse of Kim Jong Un touring secret nuclear weapons facility

USA Today•Sep 13, 2024

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Will there be 10 or more nuclear-armed states at any time before 2035?

72%