Question

Will California's waiver exception under the Clean Air Act be repealed before January 1, 2027?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction35%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 35%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

US Environmental Protection Agency

Supreme Court of the US

Clean Air Act

California

Will the EPA grant a waiver for the entirety of California's proposed Advanced Clean Cars II before January 21, 2025?

65%

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

US Environmental Protection Agency

Supreme Court of the US

Clean Air Act

California

Which car brands have electric car sales on target and which are falling behind as end of year ZEV fines loom?

Daily Mail•Sep 12, 2024

Campaign To Weaken EU CO2 Rules For EVs Spurs Opposition

Forbes•Sep 18, 2024

Dozens of states urge EPA to deny California waiver making out-of-state trucks comply with electric mandate

FOX News•Sep 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the EPA grant a waiver for the entirety of California's proposed Advanced Clean Cars II before January 21, 2025?

65%

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?