Question

What will be the average NAEP long-term trend mathematics score for 9-year old students in 2029?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters4

Community Prediction241

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My Prediction

community

<210

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>255

...

0.1%

237.2

240.5

243.9

4.3%

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

United States

Mathematics

National Assessment of Educational Progress

What will be state-of-the-art performance on the MATH dataset on the following dates?

What will be the best accuracy score on the MATH dataset by 2025?

9.42e-1

In the following years, what will be the highest LLM scores on the GPQA Diamond benchmark?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

United States

Mathematics

National Assessment of Educational Progress

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What will be state-of-the-art performance on the MATH dataset on the following dates?

What will be the best accuracy score on the MATH dataset by 2025?

9.42e-1