U.S. Debt Default Before 2024?

conditional

condition

Debt Limit Increased or Suspended in 2023?

Resolved:Yes

13 forecasters

if yes

if no

U.S. Debt Default Before 2024?

Resolved:No

U.S. Debt Default Before 2024?

62%

Resolved:Annulled

1 comment1

Make a Prediction

Debt Limit Increased or Suspended in 2023?	U.S. Debt Default Before 2024?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 7%

What was the final result? No

Community Baseline Score

14.8

Community Peer Score

1.1

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jan 21, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Moody's Investors Service

US Department of the Treasury

Social Security Trust Fund

Congressional Research Service

United States debt-ceiling crisis of 2011

United States

What will the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio be in the following years?

136

Will US Household-Debt-to-GDP surpass 100% before 2033?

48.7%

What will be the federal deficit in the United States in the following fiscal years in millions of dollars?

1.9M

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jan 21, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Moody's Investors Service

US Department of the Treasury

Social Security Trust Fund

Congressional Research Service

United States debt-ceiling crisis of 2011

United States

What will the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio be in the following years?

136

Will US Household-Debt-to-GDP surpass 100% before 2033?

48.7%

What will be the federal deficit in the United States in the following fiscal years in millions of dollars?

1.9M