Question
When will the first same-sex couple have a child that is produced by the sperm of one parent and the egg of the other?
Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction
Jan 2046
(Sep 2036 - >Mar 2063)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Sep 2036 | — |
| median | Jan 2046 | — |
| upper 75% | >Mar 2063 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Mar 2063 | 28.1% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Mar 2, 2023
Closes:Mar 1, 2063
Scheduled resolution:Mar 2, 2063
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 4, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Mar 2, 2023
Closes:Mar 1, 2063
Scheduled resolution:Mar 2, 2063
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 4, 2023