Question

Will Kevin McCarthy be Speaker of the House on January 1, 2024?

Resolved:No
4
20
Total Forecasters128
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-61.8
Community Peer Score
12.7
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:Jan 28, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 30, 2023
Politics
2023 Leaderboard
Speaker of the US House of Representatives
John Boehner
Kevin McCarthy (California politician)