Question

Will wild influenza B/Yamagata be declared eradicated before 2030?

25 comments25

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction30%

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50%

community: 29.7%

Authors:

dtark

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

World Health Organization

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Rinderpest

When will the World Health Organization report no detected polio cases (wild poliovirus) for an entire calendar year, for the first time?

When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?

2032-08-31

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

33%

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? comments

Authors:

dtark

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

World Health Organization

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Rinderpest

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When will the World Health Organization report no detected polio cases (wild poliovirus) for an entire calendar year, for the first time?

When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?

2032-08-31

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

33%