Question

In 2023 will a cultured meat product be available in at least one US store or restaurant for less than $30?

Resolved:No

27 comments27

Total Forecasters119

Community Prediction

(1% - 8%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

26.7

Community Peer Score

12.0

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Dec 22, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Mar 5, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 12, 2023

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Economy & Business

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Cultured meat

United States

Scott Alexander

When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

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What will be the lowest retail price, in 2019USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat in 2026?

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What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?

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