Question

In 2023, will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high?

Resolved:No

131 comments131

Total Forecasters288

Community Prediction

(1% - 9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

36.4

Community Peer Score

10.0

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Dec 22, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 12, 2023

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Economy & Business

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Scott Alexander

S&P 500 Index

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Dec 22, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 12, 2023

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Economy & Business

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Scott Alexander

S&P 500 Index

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

61%

Will the S&P 500 hit 10,000 points by the end of the decade?

36.2%

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on the following dates?

6069