Question

On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Donald Trump is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters153
Community Prediction
99%
(99% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
36.7
Community Peer Score
24.1
Authors:
Opened:Dec 22, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 12, 2023