Question

Will the US ban TikTok before 2024?

Resolved:No

71 comments71

Total Forecasters321

Community Prediction

(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

77.6

Community Peer Score

11.7

Authors:

TheGrassGuy

Opened:

Dec 19, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 20, 2022

Politics

Economy & Business

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Will TikTok still be available in the United States on December 31, 2025?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

15%

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

70%

Authors:

TheGrassGuy

Opened:

Dec 19, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 20, 2022

Politics

Economy & Business

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Will TikTok still be available in the United States on December 31, 2025?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

15%

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

70%