Question

On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Ron DeSantis is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024?

Resolved :No

7 comments7

Total Forecasters144

Community Prediction0%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

50.4

Community Peer Score

25.4

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Republican Party (US)

On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election?

Will Ron DeSantis become US president by 2029?

[PRACTICE] Will Donald Trump be elected US President in 2024?

49%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Republican Party (US)

Who has better odds to win the election Harris or Trump? The debate may have changed them

USA Today•Sep 12, 2024

Election 2024: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Polls and Odds

Newsweek•Sep 13, 2024

2024 presidential election odds: Harris maintains narrow lead over Trump with 49 days left

USA Today•Sep 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election?

Will Ron DeSantis become US president by 2029?

[PRACTICE] Will Donald Trump be elected US President in 2024?

49%