Question

In 2023 will any new country join NATO?

Resolved:Yes

7 comments7

Total Forecasters127

Community Prediction

99%

(99% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

22.3

Community Peer Score

3.2

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Dec 22, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 12, 2023

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Geopolitics

Politics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

11%

Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Dec 22, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 12, 2023

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Geopolitics

Politics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

11%