Question

When will the Lunar Gateway first be occupied by a crew?

Total Forecasters60
Community Prediction
Sep 2030
(16 Dec 2028 - >Jan 2031)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%16 Dec 2028
medianSep 2030
upper 75%>Jan 2031
Upper bound
>Jan 203143.7%
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 6, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 5, 2023