Question

Will Iran disempower its Guidance Patrol "modesty police" before 2024?

Resolved :No

29 comments29

Total Forecasters103

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

53.9

Community Peer Score

17.6

Authors:

MaxR

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law Enforcement Force of the Islamic Republic of Iran

Guidance Patrol

Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?

When will Iran cease to be an Islamic Republic?

2041-11-14

Khamenei Out as Leader of Iran in 2024? → US Iran War Before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MaxR

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law Enforcement Force of the Islamic Republic of Iran

Guidance Patrol

Afghan women sing to protest a law that orders them to keep quiet

NPR Online News•Sep 12, 2024

Iran’s morality police will no longer ‘bother’ women over hijab, new president promises

Independent•Sep 17, 2024

Iran's new president vows to ensure morality police don't 'bother' women

Raw Story•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?

When will Iran cease to be an Islamic Republic?

2041-11-14