Question

Drake's Equation 4th parameter f_l: On what fraction of habitable planets does any form of life emerge?

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Total Forecasters191

Community Prediction4.74e-4

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My Prediction

community

<1e-31

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

3.5%

5.23e-11

4.739e-4

7.618e-2

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googolplexbyte

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Fermi Paradox Series

Space

Natural Sciences

Outline of space science

Drake's Equation 2nd parameter f_p: What fraction of stars form planets?

8.59e-1

Drake's Equation 5th Parameter f_i: On what fraction of habitable planets with life does intelligence evolve?

2.62e-4

Drake's Equation 3rd parameter n_e: What is the average number of habitable planets per star?

4.53e-2

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Authors:

googolplexbyte

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Fermi Paradox Series

Space

Natural Sciences

Outline of space science

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Drake's Equation 2nd parameter f_p: What fraction of stars form planets?

8.59e-1

Drake's Equation 5th Parameter f_i: On what fraction of habitable planets with life does intelligence evolve?

2.62e-4

Drake's Equation 3rd parameter n_e: What is the average number of habitable planets per star?

4.53e-2