Question

Will more than 150,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?

Resolved:Ambiguous

9 comments9

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction

55%

(55% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

Authors:

dtark

Opened:

Oct 27, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 29, 2022

Will 1 million Russian personnel losses be reported before 2026?

99%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?

52%

Authors:

dtark

Opened:

Oct 27, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 29, 2022

Will 1 million Russian personnel losses be reported before 2026?

99%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?

52%