Question

Will a US nuclear weapon be detonated in Russia before 2023?

Resolved :No

27 comments27

Total Forecasters196

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

98.5

Community Peer Score

0.8

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Territorial waters

Jens Stoltenberg

Ukraine–NATO relations

United States

Luhansk People's Republic

Russia under Vladimir Putin

Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025?

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

Most likely way(s) a nuclear war involving hundreds of detonations could end up occurring by 2050?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Territorial waters

Jens Stoltenberg

Ukraine–NATO relations

United States

Luhansk People's Republic

Russia under Vladimir Putin

Russia 'must show it is willing to use nuclear weapons against countries that support Ukraine and CAN hit NATO countries with a tactical nuke without sparking Armageddon'

Daily Mail•Sep 13, 2024

US hints at allowing Ukraine to strike deep inside Russia, enraging Putin

Al Jazeera•Sep 13, 2024

Putin is threatening disaster over Ukraine's long-range missiles — but his past 'red lines' came to nothing

Business Insider•Sep 13, 2024

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