Question

Will Russia order a general mobilization by January 1, 2023?

Resolved :Ambiguous

54 comments54

Total Forecasters168

Community Prediction63%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 63.3%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Constitution of Russia

President of Russia

Ukraine–NATO relations

State Duma

Federation Council (Russia)

Ukraine

Russia

Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

18%

Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Constitution of Russia

President of Russia

Ukraine–NATO relations

State Duma

Federation Council (Russia)

Ukraine

Russia

Putin orders military to boost troop numbers by 180,000 to 1.5 million as Ukraine fighting continues

Associated Press•Sep 16, 2024

Russia-Ukraine war: Putin orders Russia to boost size of army

CNN•Sep 16, 2024

Putin orders third increase in Russian troop numbers since Ukraine invasion

Al Jazeera•Sep 17, 2024

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Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

18%