Question

When will Liz Truss no longer hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?

Resolved:25 Oct 2022 05:02
Total Forecasters130
Community Prediction
30 Oct 2022 01:40
(09 Oct 2022 - 22 Nov 2022)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%09 Oct 2022
median30 Oct 2022 01:40
upper 75%22 Nov 2022
Upper bound
>Jan 20300.1%

What was the final result?25 Oct 2022 05:02

Community Baseline Score
0.8
Community Peer Score
1.0
Authors:
Opened:Sep 9, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Resolves:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 11, 2022