Group

Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025?

Forecast Timeline

Level 3

Level 2

Level 1

Make a Prediction

Candidates		My Prediction		Me
Level 3	30%

Level 2	5%

Level 1	1%

Authors:

zoehtwilliams

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Cybersecurity standards

Most likely way(s) a nuclear war involving hundreds of detonations could end up occurring by 2050?

Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?

If an offensive state nuclear detonation occurs by 2050, will the first detonation be inadvertent?

22%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

zoehtwilliams

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Cybersecurity standards

Tomgram: Michael Klare, Ensuring the Collapse of Civilization?

OpEdNews•Sep 17, 2024

Defense experts warn US military ‘not prepared’ for major global war as Congress feuds over funding

New York Post•Sep 18, 2024

US Navy Chief Unveils Plan To Be Ready for War With China By 2027

AntiWar•Sep 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Most likely way(s) a nuclear war involving hundreds of detonations could end up occurring by 2050?

Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?

If an offensive state nuclear detonation occurs by 2050, will the first detonation be inadvertent?

22%