Question
When will the first AI-generated book be on the New York Times Best Seller list?
Total Forecasters98
Community Prediction
17 Mar 2029
(27 Nov 2026 - Mar 2034)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 27 Nov 2026 | — |
| median | 17 Mar 2029 | — |
| upper 75% | Mar 2034 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2099 | 2.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 10, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 12, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Jul 10, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 12, 2022