Question

Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?

41 comments41

Total Forecasters197

Community Prediction3%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Chris Murphy

Mississippi

Planned Parenthood v. Casey

Democratic Party (US)

Supreme Court of the US

Fox News

United States

Republican Party (US)

Donald Trump

Roe v. Wade

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → US National Abortion Ban before 2030?

In what percent of US States will Casey-era abortion rights be granted on May 1, 2026?

55.1

Will inter-racial marriage be banned in any US State by 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Chris Murphy

Mississippi

Planned Parenthood v. Casey

Democratic Party (US)

Supreme Court of the US

Fox News

United States

Republican Party (US)

Donald Trump

Roe v. Wade

Abortion Could Sway 2024 Race In These Swing States—As Trump Won’t Say If He’ll Veto A Ban

Forbes•Sep 12, 2024

Trump wouldn’t say whether he’d veto a national ban even as abortion remains a top election issue

Associated Press•Sep 12, 2024

Abortion Could Be Banned Nationwide If Trump Resurrects This Zombie Law

Scientific American•Sep 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → US National Abortion Ban before 2030?

In what percent of US States will Casey-era abortion rights be granted on May 1, 2026?

55.1