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Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?

77
370
821 forecasters

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DateMe
2025
no
2026
5%
2028
20%
2030
30%
2035
41%
Resolved Jan 1, 2025
Community Baseline Score
90.6
Community Peer Score
9.7
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Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Opened:May 6, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035