Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
For how many of the 26 human-infecting virus families will there be at least one licensed vaccine before 2032?
3
2 comments
2
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
70
Community Prediction
22.5
Make a Prediction
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Sign Up to Predict
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
21.22
22.47
23.48
Background Info
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Biosecurity Tournament
Health & Pandemics
Natural Sciences
Biology
United States
Filoviridae
Medicine
Virology
National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases
Microbiology
Coronaviridae
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
recent
? comments
Log in
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Biosecurity Tournament
Health & Pandemics
Natural Sciences
Biology
United States
Filoviridae
Medicine
Virology
National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases
Microbiology
Coronaviridae
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
The US is entering a riskier season for spread of H5N1 bird flu. Here’s why experts are worried
CNN
•
Sep 13, 2024
CDC says mpox vaccine boosters aren’t needed in the US as questions emerge around waning immunity
CNN
•
Sep 13, 2024
Virus that causes paralyzing illness is spiking in the U.S., wastewater data shows
NBC
•
Sep 17, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
The US is entering a riskier season for spread of H5N1 bird flu. Here’s why experts are worried
CNN
•
Sep 13, 2024
CDC says mpox vaccine boosters aren’t needed in the US as questions emerge around waning immunity
CNN
•
Sep 13, 2024
Virus that causes paralyzing illness is spiking in the U.S., wastewater data shows
NBC
•
Sep 17, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?
119k
What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?
How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?
8
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?
119k
What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?
How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?
8
Show More Questions