Question

Will an AI be able to reliably construct bug-free code of more than 10,000 lines before 2030?

18 comments18

Total Forecasters216

Community Prediction88%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 88%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Elon Musk

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Philosophy

Gary Marcus

Artificial general intelligence

New York University

Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?

96%

Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?

83%

Will an AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen before 2030?

27%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Elon Musk

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Philosophy

Gary Marcus

Artificial general intelligence

New York University

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Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?

96%

Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?

83%

Will an AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen before 2030?

27%