Question

Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa no longer be the President of Sri Lanka before 2023?

Resolved :Yes

28 comments28

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

11.3

Community Peer Score

0.2

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Parliament of Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka Armed Forces

Mahinda Rajapaksa

Sri Lanka

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Will Bangladesh hold parliamentary elections within 6 months of Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's August 5, 2024 ouster?

40%

Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025?

13%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Parliament of Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka Armed Forces

Mahinda Rajapaksa

Sri Lanka

Sri Lankans’ fury forced the powerful Rajapaksa clan out. Now its heir is running for president

Associated Press•Sep 13, 2024

Sri Lanka election 2024: Who could be the next president, what’s at stake?

Al Jazeera•Sep 20, 2024

Two years after Sri Lanka’s president was ousted by protests – could it all have been for nothing?

Independent•Sep 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Will Bangladesh hold parliamentary elections within 6 months of Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's August 5, 2024 ouster?

40%

Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025?

13%