Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
How many members will NATO have on December 31, 2025?
9
20 comments
20
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
103
Community Prediction
32
Make a Prediction
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Sign Up to Predict
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>40
...
...
...
31.47
32.01
32.51
0.2%
Background Info
Authors:
Cato
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Member states of NATO
Russo-Ukrainian War
Finland
Sweden
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Ukraine
NATO
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
recent
? comments
Log in
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
Cato
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Member states of NATO
Russo-Ukrainian War
Finland
Sweden
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Ukraine
NATO
Submit Tags Feedback
Similar Questions
Will the United States remain a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2029?
97%
Will Turkey be a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2025?
99%
How many member states will the European Union have by 2040?
31.3
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
Will the United States remain a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2029?
97%
Will Turkey be a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2025?
99%
How many member states will the European Union have by 2040?
31.3
Show More Questions
News Match
Putin warns NATO will be ‘at war with Russia’ if it allows Ukraine to use Western long-range missiles against it
CNN
•
Sep 13, 2024
Putin Ally Accuses NATO of Leading Ukrainian Military in Russia
Newsweek
•
Sep 13, 2024
Map Shows 20 Times Drones, Missiles Crossed Into NATO Land In Ukraine War
Newsweek
•
Sep 18, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
Putin warns NATO will be ‘at war with Russia’ if it allows Ukraine to use Western long-range missiles against it
CNN
•
Sep 13, 2024
Putin Ally Accuses NATO of Leading Ukrainian Military in Russia
Newsweek
•
Sep 13, 2024
Map Shows 20 Times Drones, Missiles Crossed Into NATO Land In Ukraine War
Newsweek
•
Sep 18, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch