Question

How many UN member states will formally recognize Taiwan at the end of 2025?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction11.7

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>220

...

9.251

11.73

14.87

0.1%

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

United Nations

People's Liberation Army

Demographics of Eswatini

Vatican City

Will Taiwan/Republic of China declare independence by 2035?

20%

If Taiwan declares independence by 2035, will the United States appoint an ambassador within a year?

41%

How many countries will become UN member states before 2075?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

United Nations

People's Liberation Army

Demographics of Eswatini

Vatican City

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Associated Press•Sep 18, 2024

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Will Taiwan/Republic of China declare independence by 2035?

20%

If Taiwan declares independence by 2035, will the United States appoint an ambassador within a year?

41%