Question

Will there be a city on Earth with a population of over 100 million by 2100?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters213

Community Prediction54%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 54%

median 54.0%mean 52.1%

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will one government govern 80% of Earth's population and economy by 2100?

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

61%

Will the human condition change fundamentally before 2100?

98%

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Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Superbugs ‘could kill 39m people by 2050’ amid rising drug resistance

Guardian•Sep 17, 2024

More than 95,000 Japanese aged over 100, most of them women

Raw Story•Sep 17, 2024

Map Reveals the Nations Growing Faster Than the US

Newsweek•Sep 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will one government govern 80% of Earth's population and economy by 2100?

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

61%

Will the human condition change fundamentally before 2100?

98%