Question

After 2022, how many times will the US policy rate reach the zero lower bound?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters12

Community Prediction3.09

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>15

...

1.571

3.088

4.379

0.4%

Authors:

basil.halperin

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Natural Sciences

Great Recession in the US

United States

Federal Reserve

Eurozone

After 2022, when is the next time the US policy rate will reach the zero lower bound?

2029-01-09

Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050?

58%

How many times will the US Fed cut rates by 25 basis points this year?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

basil.halperin

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Natural Sciences

Great Recession in the US

United States

Federal Reserve

Eurozone

Strangely, America’s companies will soon face higher interest rates

Economist•Sep 12, 2024

Fed expected to announce its first interest rate cut since 2020

Raw Story•Sep 17, 2024

The Federal Reserve is about to cut rates … but by how much?

Guardian•Sep 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

After 2022, when is the next time the US policy rate will reach the zero lower bound?

2029-01-09

Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050?

58%