Question

Will average semiconductor chip lead times (amount of time between order and delivery) drop to below 15 weeks at any point before July 1, 2022?

Resolved :No

14 comments14

Total Forecasters100

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

86.7

Community Peer Score

14.8

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

In January 2030, what will the Federal Reserves' Index be for industrial production of semiconductors and circuit boards?

591

Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

55%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Chip stocks have been through wild swings, but analysts still like these names

CNBC•Sep 12, 2024

Nvidia chips are in such high demand that customers are 'emotional,' Huang said

Business Insider•Sep 12, 2024

Jensen Huang says if 'anything were to happen' in Taiwan, Nvidia could have GPUs made somewhere else

Business Insider•Sep 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In January 2030, what will the Federal Reserves' Index be for industrial production of semiconductors and circuit boards?

591

Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

55%