Question

Will a major cloud service go down before March 8, 2023?

Resolved:Ambiguous

16 comments16

Total Forecasters46

Community Prediction

33%

(28% - 44%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 33%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Mar 22, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Mar 24, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 20, 2022

Google Cloud Platform

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

Will the S&P 500 index experience a drawdown of at least 40% before 2027?

35%

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

80%