Question

When will the next major bridge collapse occur in the USA?

Resolved :Oct 26, 2022

5 comments5

Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction2023-01-09

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2024-01-01

...

2022-08-29 01:35

2023-01-09 20:36

2023-06-18 05:49

12.8%

What was the final result?Oct 26, 2022

Community Baseline Score

4.2

Community Peer Score

9.5

Authors:

ok casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Pittsburgh

I-35W Mississippi River bridge

Minneapolis

United States

National Transportation Safety Board

When will Baltimore's Francis Scott Key Bridge be rebuilt and open to traffic again?

2028-07-30

Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024?

10%

When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

2028-12-13

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ok casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Pittsburgh

I-35W Mississippi River bridge

Minneapolis

United States

National Transportation Safety Board

Video Shows Moments After Bridge Collapses Under Car Amid Floodwaters

Newsweek•Sep 17, 2024

Pittsburgh proposes a $500,000 payment to settle bridge collapse lawsuits

Associated Press•Sep 18, 2024

US sues owner and manager of ship that caused deadly Baltimore bridge collapse

Guardian•Sep 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Baltimore's Francis Scott Key Bridge be rebuilt and open to traffic again?

2028-07-30

Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024?

10%

When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

2028-12-13