Leaderboards

Baseline Accuracy

Baseline Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to chance. User scores are determined by summing their Baseline scores for all questions within a time period. This category rewards forecasters who are both accurate and forecast on many questions. Learn more here.

Duration:

1 year2 years5 years10 years

Time Period:

201620172018201920202021202220232024

Duration:

1 year

Time Period:

2021

	User	Questions	Score
1	SimonM	477	17.7k
2	PepeS	465	16.8k
3	datscilly	445	14.6k
4	Vang	402	13.4k
5	JonathanShi	389	12.2k
6	galen	455	11.2k
7	TeeJayKay	394	10.4k
8	Zweihander	461	9.91k
9	elifland	307	9.7k
10	MaciekK	255	9.07k
11	Bob_Jacobs	351	7.96k
12	2e10e122	321	7.65k
13	lars3loff	286	7.07k
14	citizen	337	6.9k
15	Reprisal	275	6.58k
16	mattvdm	216	6.02k
17	PeterWildeford	257	6.01k
18	Jgalt	260	5.84k
19	Sergio	166	5.76k
20	Pablo	174	4.64k
21	TheObsoleteMan	227	4.13k
22	Nichevo	132	3.36k
23	Cory	106	3.32k
24	nextbigfuture	182	3.25k
25	ege_erdil	95	3.1k
26	BrianGoodrich	100	2.84k
27	jack	156	2.82k
28	cos	104	2.81k
29	Alexander230	234	2.73k
30	JAJMLP	350	2.7k
31	BellardiaLemonus	184	2.61k
32	uganda	176	2.56k
33	Jotto	177	2.46k
34	Charles	88	2.41k
35	ines	74	2.37k
36	Grigfall	119	2.34k
37	Hayes	83	2.28k
38	isaacdunn	92	2.26k
39	AngraMainyu	83	2.21k
40	TheFooder	104	2.16k
41	EmanueleAscani	49	2k
42	chipsie	75	1.98k
43	nostramus	124	1.91k
44	deKlik	41	1.86k
45	Maxima	73	1.83k
46	thee	77	1.81k
47	zenblews	123	1.81k
48	thmt	57	1.8k
49	ItsRyan	108	1.77k
50	AvrahamEisenberg	92	1.67k
51	Mellaculus	66	1.66k
52	isinlor	62	1.61k
53	ad42astra	124	1.57k
54	alexlitz	123	1.55k
55	beala	44	1.55k
56	qjh	52	1.46k
57	PhilippSchoenegger	75	1.45k
58	arun2642	60	1.45k
59	will_aldred	104	1.42k
60	Natalia_Mendonca	54	1.41k
61	schelling42	71	1.41k
62	wobblybobby	82	1.41k
63	negation	70	1.35k
64	Glossy	34	1.32k
65	sergeant1337	54	1.28k
66	NeelNanda	58	1.26k
67	Bristol_OPT	67	1.25k
68	johnnycaffeine	66	1.21k
69	zc	39	1.21k
70	oldwindways	49	1.19k
71	minnow_beacon	42	1.15k
72	eidanjacob	79	1.14k
73	aqsalose	43	1.11k
74	YasmineBose	54	1.1k
75	stanulamstan	37	1.09k
76	pierreavdb	79	1.08k
77	Matthew_Barnett	31	1.05k
78	ghabs	28	1.04k
79	tsmilton	26	1.04k
80	jhknot	58	1.02k
81	sbares	30	1k
82	WuTangName	36	988
83	nickkees	73	988
84	DerekTank	28	986
85	EfficientMarkusHypo	42	984
86	HadiKhan	33	977
87	TrentBrick	37	956
88	NeilDullaghan	55	917
89	beyond_wrong	61	910
90	gunturiqbal	42	901
91	schkolne	92	883
92	ThemeArrow	51	877
93	JasperGötting	66	876
94	NathanpmYoung	86	857
95	berekuk	25	857
96	taskaryan	51	847
97	chris.j.cundy	19	836
98	probahilliby	49	836
99	yobi	26	826
100	emilowk	25	826
101	alexrjl	19	816
102	yagudin	12	813
103	kalos	23	795