| 98.976 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 98.976 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 98.778 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 98.162 | Will the US Federal Reserve make an emergency rate cut before September 17, 2024? | Binary |
| 98.116 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 98.078 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Tammy Duckworth) | Binary |
| 98.013 | Will the opposition candidate, Edmundo González, concede the 2024 Venezuelan election to Maduro before September 2024? | Binary |
| 97.833 | Before October 1, 2024, will there be an armed forces death in a conflict opposing China to Taiwan, the United States, the Philippines, or Japan? | Binary |
| 97.719 | Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 97.598 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 97.408 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| 95.431 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Amy Klobuchar) | Binary |
| 95.085 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 93.526 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Roy Cooper) | Binary |
| 93.414 | Will the Russian government officially ban YouTube before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 93.275 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 93.256 | Will Edmundo González be deprived of liberty before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 93.104 | Will there be a US presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris held on September 10, 2024? | Binary |
| 92.920 | Will the USD be worth 0.935 EUR or more at the close of trading on any day before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 92.554 | Will Ukrainian forces capture Rylsk, Russia before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 91.397 | Will William Ruto cease to be President of Kenya before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 91.377 | Before October 1, 2024, will Ethiopia and Somalia announce an agreement settling their dispute over the Somaliland port deal? | Binary |
| 91.249 | Will another Chinese military aircraft violate Japanese territorial airspace before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 91.030 | On October 1, 2024, what will be the status of Ukraine’s offensives reaching at least five miles into Russian territory? | Multiple Choice |
| 90.798 | Will Intel get dropped from the Dow Jones Industrial Average before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 90.517 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Andy Beshear) | Binary |
| 89.314 | Will there be a white Christmas in at least 4 of these 9 large European cities in 2024? | Binary |
| 89.279 | How many cases of severe invasive streptococcal infections (TSLS) will be reported in Japan on July 2? | Continuous |
| 89.118 | [Short fuse] Will there be a majority of "Yes" votes in the Moldovan European Union membership referendum? | Binary |
| 88.671 | Before October 1, 2024, will any of these prominent Democrats appear as guests on the Lex Fridman podcast? | Binary |
| 88.597 | Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024? | Binary |
| 88.128 | Will the US government end its agreement directly allowing Verisign to manage the authoritative domain name registry for the .com TLD, before August 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 88.112 | By how many billion USD will Elon Musk’s net worth differ from the highest other net worth on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list as of January 1, 2025? | Continuous |
| 87.821 | Who will be #1 on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List on June 28, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 86.986 | Will North Korea perform its seventh nuclear test before 2025? | Binary |
| 86.827 | What will Trump's lead over Biden be on July 15, 2024, according to 538's national polling average? | Continuous |
| 86.590 | Before June 6, 2024, will there be an armed forces conflict death between China and Taiwan in 2024? | Binary |
| 86.259 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Josh Shapiro) | Binary |
| 85.534 | Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before May 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 84.713 | Will Eric Adams be Mayor of New York City on the 1st of January 2025? | Binary |
| 84.478 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Michael Bennet) | Binary |
| 84.472 | Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 84.108 | Will the Crimean Bridge be hit with an attack before the listed dates? (July 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 83.541 | Who will win the Tour de France 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 82.861 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gina Raimondo) | Binary |
| 82.800 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Jeff Jackson) | Binary |
| 82.669 | Will Democrats have a brokered convention in 2024? | Binary |
| 82.201 | Will North Korea deploy military personnel to Ukraine before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 82.161 | Will Fidesz-KDNP Maintain Its EU Plurality from Hungary in 2024? | Binary |
| 82.036 | What coalition will the Prime Minister of France belong to on July 30, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 81.926 | Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 79.769 | Will Bitcoin dominance exceed 63.0% on any single day in November or December 2024? | Binary |
| 79.761 | Will the undiagnosed disease currently spreading in the Democratic Republic of the Congo be identified as Influenza, RSV, or COVID-19 before January 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 79.568 | Will the 2024 World Chess Champion be decided in the first 10 games? | Binary |
| 79.293 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Mark Kelly) | Binary |
| 78.653 | Will Blue Origin launch its New Glenn rocket before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 78.160 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gary Peters) | Binary |
| 77.853 | What will be the largest number of Chinese aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) in a single day between August 15 and September 15, 2024? | Continuous |
| 77.633 | Will a US Vice Presidential debate be held before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 77.212 | What will be the polling average gap in the UK national parliament voting intention between the Labour and Conservative parties according to The Economist on June 27, 2024? | Continuous |
| 76.244 | How many total human cases of H5 will CDC report in the United States on October 1, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 75.925 | Will the Atlantic Ocean's daily mean sea surface temperature surpass 2023's record peak temperature before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 75.861 | Will a journalist or an opposition politician be charged in connection with the assassination attempt on Slovak PM Robert Fico, before June 15, 2024? | Binary |
| 75.147 | Will Yoon Suk Yeol be President of South Korea on December 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 75.136 | What will be the US national average retail price of regular gasoline on September 30, 2024, according to AAA? | Continuous |
| 74.706 | Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before September 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 74.566 | What will US airline passenger volume be for the week of Christmas through New Years Eve 2024, according to the TSA? | Continuous |
| 72.560 | Will either of Donald Trump's campaign managers get fired, resign, or otherwise leave their positions before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 70.579 | Will Joe Biden announce before July 15, 2024 that he will not accept the Democratic Party's nomination for President? | Binary |
| 67.420 | How many arms sales globally will the US State Department approve in the fourth quarter of 2024? | Continuous |
| 66.502 | Before July 1, 2024, will the International Criminal Court issue arrest warrants for any of the listed Israeli leaders? | Binary |
| 66.162 | Will the majority of Russian soldiers in Syria withdraw before January 5, 2025? | Binary |
| 64.847 | Which school will be #1 in the QS World University Rankings 2025, scheduled to be released on June 4, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 61.287 | Will Bluesky reach 30 million users before 1 January 2025? | Binary |
| 60.680 | Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 60.477 | What will AfD's vote share be in the 2024 Brandenburg state election? | Continuous |
| 58.131 | [Short fuse] Will the Moldovan European Union membership referendum cross the turnout threshold to be valid? | Binary |
| 57.327 | Will YouTube be banned in Russia before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 56.892 | [Short fuse] Will California's Proposition 33 (allowing rent control) pass in the 2024 general election? | Binary |
| 56.828 | What will Keir Starmer's approval rating as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be on September 18, 2024? | Continuous |
| 55.940 | What will be the close price of the Shanghai Composite Index (SSE) on December 30, 2024? | Continuous |
| 54.093 | When will Starship next reach an altitude of at least 200 kilometers? | Continuous |
| 53.483 | Will diplomatic expulsions or recalls take place between the Philippines and China before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 52.334 | Will a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah be active on January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 52.185 | What will be the official vote percentage for the Ensemble! coalition in the first round of the French legislative elections on June 30, 2024, as reported by July 3, 2024? | Continuous |
| 50.489 | Will former First Lady of Pakistan Bushra Bibi be arrested before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 50.241 | What will be the US national average retail price of regular gasoline on Tuesday November 5, 2024, according to AAA? | Continuous |
| 49.721 | Will the lithium carbonate (CNY/T) price fall below 70,000 before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 46.239 | What will be the value of China's CSI 300 stock index at market close on December 31st, 2024? | Continuous |
| 46.093 | Who will win the Speed Chess Championship 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 44.287 | On June 21, 2024, what will be the closing value of BSE SENSEX? | Continuous |
| 43.228 | Who will become President of Iran in the first round of voting? | Multiple Choice |
| 42.978 | Who will win the 2024 World Chess Championship? | Multiple Choice |
| 42.494 | Between June 1 and June 15, 2024, what will be the strongest geomagnetic storm observed on Earth? | Multiple Choice |
| 41.651 | On June 28th, 2024, will Gamestop's market capitalization be higher than Docusign's, according to CompaniesMarketCap? | Binary |
| 41.514 | What will be the US Dollar ($USD)-Israeli Shekel (₪ NIS) exchange rate on these dates? (November 15) | Continuous |
| 40.428 | Will UCLA hold its in-person, university-wide graduation commencement ceremonies scheduled for June 14, 2024? | Binary |
| 39.278 | How many days will the Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue WA metro area experience an Air Quality Index value above 150 in the 3rd quarter of 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 38.737 | Which party will the new Prime Minister of Iceland belong to after the 2024 parliamentary elections? | Multiple Choice |
| 38.046 | How many whooping cough cases will New Zealand report for weeks 51 and 52? | Continuous |
| 36.835 | Will at least 50 Kenyan military or police personnel arrive in Haiti before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 36.759 | Will Iran's Guardian Council include Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's name on its list of approved candidates for president of Iran? | Binary |
| 36.058 | Will Nvidia have the largest market cap in the world at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 34.251 | How many Metaculus users that ranked in the top 16 in the Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup will remain in the top 16 at the end of Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
| 33.293 | Will Starliner Calypso undock from ISS before September 16? | Binary |
| 33.237 | How many major Atlantic hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur in September 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 33.016 | What will be the US Dollar ($USD)-Israeli Shekel (₪ NIS) exchange rate on these dates? (December 30) | Continuous |
| 32.841 | Who will win the 2024 Grand Chess Tour? | Multiple Choice |
| 31.252 | Will any of these large tech companies announce layoffs before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 30.424 | What will be Donald Trump's net favorability rating on December 27, 2024? | Continuous |
| 30.322 | How many U.S. federal executive department heads will the incoming administration announce between the election and December 16, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 29.311 | Will the US Steel/Nippon Steel merger collapse before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 28.941 | What will be the total finishing time for the 2024 Boston Marathon winners (male and female combined)? | Continuous |
| 26.824 | Will South Africa elect a president before July 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 26.396 | Will any more of Trump's announced Cabinet picks drop out before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 24.211 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 20.234 | Will Kamala Harris say "artificial intelligence" or "AI" in her 2024 Democratic National Convention keynote speech? | Binary |
| 19.504 | How much will it rain in Brasília, Brazil in December 2024? | Continuous |
| 16.487 | If a government is formed in South Africa before July 1, 2024, which parties will form the government? | Multiple Choice |
| 14.549 | What will the month over month percentage increase in core CPI inflation be in the US in August 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 13.277 | Will the European Union announce new tariffs or duties on imports of Chinese electric vehicles before July 5, 2024? | Binary |
| 9.057 | Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon in 2024? | Binary |
| 7.149 | Will France have a new Prime Minister before January 1, 2025? (Yes) → What will the closing price of CAC 40 be on December 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 7.061 | What will the US Supreme Court decide regarding Chevron deference in its 2023-2024 term? | Multiple Choice |
| 5.787 | Will California Senate Bill 1047, the "Safe and Secure Innovation for Frontier Artificial Intelligence Models Act," be enacted before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 4.934 | Will any more United Kingdom MPs be suspended from their party, resign, or change allegiance before 2025? | Binary |
| 4.569 | When will the sixth Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff? | Continuous |
| 4.459 | Before August 22, 2024, will President Joe Biden take any of these specific actions to end his candidacy for re-election? | Binary |
| 3.886 | What will be the highest daily close price (in $USD) of the CBOE S&P 500 (VIX) and Crude Oil (OVX) Volatility Index between April 15 and June 1, 2024? (OVX) | Continuous |
| 3.736 | What will be the highest daily close price (in $USD) of the CBOE S&P 500 (VIX) and Crude Oil (OVX) Volatility Index between April 15 and June 1, 2024? (VIX) | Continuous |
| 3.286 | Will Kimberly Cheatle remain Director of the United States Secret Service through September 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 1.218 | Which country will win the 2024 Eurovision song contest? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.939 | Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -0.122 | By how much will the Fed cut rates at their September meeting? | Multiple Choice |
| -0.276 | Will both Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin congratulate the winner of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election before December 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -1.248 | When will the number of power outages in Texas fall below 7,500 customers? | Continuous |
| -5.437 | Will Taylor Swift publicly endorse Kamala Harris for president before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -5.601 | How many executive orders will Joe Biden sign after Election Day and before January 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| -8.483 | Will Trump, Biden or a moderator say "deepfake" in the CNN debate in Atlanta on June 27, 2024? | Binary |
| -9.964 | What will be the closest color to the 2025 Pantone Color of the Year? | Multiple Choice |
| -10.848 | Will China officially announce export restrictions on any additional metals before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -12.855 | Will the domestic opening weekend box office revenue of Mufasa: The Lion King exceed that of Sonic the Hedgehog 3? | Binary |
| -13.267 | Which country will win the 2024 Warhammer 40,000 World Team Championship? | Multiple Choice |
| -14.262 | What will China's youth unemployment rate be for August 2024? | Continuous |
| -14.436 | Will Masoud Pezeshkian win the 2024 Iranian Presidential election? | Binary |
| -15.834 | How disproportional will the 2024 Indian election be? | Continuous |
| -17.886 | Will the International Criminal Court issue any warrants in November or December 2024? | Binary |
| -26.223 | How many deliveries will Tesla report in the second quarter of 2024? | Continuous |
| -26.354 | Will leading Democratic lawmakers publicly call for Joe Biden to end his candidacy for the Democratic nomination before August 7, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| -32.315 | Will Erik Ten Hag stop being Manchester United's manager before 2025? | Binary |
| -33.846 | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for the month of April 2024? | Continuous |
| -48.809 | What will be the Accumulated Cyclone Energy of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season on October 7, 2024? | Continuous |
| -60.204 | On June 28th, 2024, will Nvidia's market capitalization be larger than Apple's? | Binary |
| -63.672 | Will New Delhi experience a "Hazardous" air quality index for at least one third of the last two weeks of December 2024? | Binary |
| -66.771 | Which manufacturer's vehicle will return astronauts Suni Williams and Butch Wilmore to Earth from the ISS? | Multiple Choice |
| -76.114 | Will the domestic box office opening of "Deadpool & Wolverine" be higher than that of "Deadpool" and "The Wolverine" combined? | Binary |
| -93.560 | Will Astro Bot win the Game of the Year 2024 award? | Binary |
| -99.629 | How many deliveries will Rivian report in the second quarter of 2024? | Continuous |
| -102.162 | Will OpenAI's o1 remain the top LLM in all categories of Chatbot Arena on December 30, 2024? | Binary |
| -107.280 | What will the IMDB rating of the special episode of Bluey titled "The Sign" be three days after it airs? | Continuous |
| -114.977 | Will Apple announce an iPhone with 40W fast charging by the end of its September 2024 event? | Binary |
| -124.662 | Will at least one of Andrea Bocelli's concerts at Madison Square Garden on December 18 or 19, 2024 sell out? | Binary |
| -181.892 | What will be the largest number of Chinese aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) in a single day between May 15 and June 15, 2024? | Continuous |
| -268.328 | Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024? | Binary |