Zweihander

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2021

Baseline Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to chance. User scores are determined by summing their Baseline scores for all questions within a time period. This category rewards forecasters who are both accurate and forecast on many questions. Learn more here.

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9912	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
192.680	What will the highest score be, on Atari 2600 Montezuma's Revenge, by any ML model that is un-augmented with domain knowledge on 2022-01-14?	Continuous
187.320	According to the Virginia Department of Education, how many Virginia school divisions will have "In Person" instructional schedules as of 15 September 2021?	Continuous
137.374	If a minimum corporate tax law is approved at the G20 Conference in July, what will be the minimum corporate tax level applied to all G20 countries?	Continuous
127.982	Which age group will have the highest share of Virginia's new COVID-19 cases during the week ending 1 August 2021?	Continuous
127.924	How many scheduled airline passengers in 2021 will verify their COVID-19 health statuses with CommonPass?	Continuous
124.537	What will the global average Democracy Index score be for 2021?	Continuous
118.025	When will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Black Virginians reach 1.0?	Continuous
117.422	Which age group will have the highest share of Virginia's COVID-19 hospitalizations during the week ending 1 August 2021?	Continuous
112.025	How many countries will be considered "full democracies" (score higher than 8) by The Economist in 2021?	Continuous
105.506	How many of Virginia's 35 local health districts will be described as being "in surge" in UVA modeling slides posted 14 January 2022?	Continuous
104.068	For the month of May 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
103.720	When will the AstraZeneca/Oxford developed SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?	Continuous
98.381	When will the James Webb telescope be launched?	Continuous
97.673	Will a Tesla car demonstrate fully autonomous capability before the end of 2021?	Binary
96.951	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in Germany on 2021-10-01?	Continuous
96.201	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 7th of January, 2022?	Continuous
96.141	When will the OSHA vaccine-or-test emergency temporary standard for private employers with 100+ employees take effect?	Continuous
94.734	What will the US Q2 2021 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?	Continuous
93.949	Will more than 10,000 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	Binary
92.915	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in September 2021?	Continuous
92.709	For the month of April 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
91.866	When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO?	Continuous
91.590	For the month of September 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly non-farm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
90.192	What will the average travel nurse salary in Virginia be for the 90-day period ending 31 March 2022?	Continuous
89.924	Will most of the Quad/Five Eyes countries boycott the 2022 Winter Olympics?	Binary
89.476	For the month of August 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly non-farm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
87.964	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims (in thousands) filed in August 2021?	Continuous
87.781	Will more than 2,500 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	Binary
87.727	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims (in thousands) filed in July 2021?	Continuous
87.366	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for August 2021?	Continuous
87.199	Maximum price of Bitcoin in 2021?	Continuous
85.528	Will the United States boycott the 2022 Beijing Olympics?	Binary
85.473	How many of Virginia's 35 Local Health Districts will the UVA Biocomplexity Institute identify as being "In Surge" in the slide deck dated 16 June 2021?	Continuous
84.337	How many billions of dollars will hurricanes in 2021 cost the US?	Continuous
84.311	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in May 2021?	Continuous
83.908	What will be the percentage of the population vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 31st, 2021?	Continuous
83.373	Will Boris Johnson be UK Prime Minister in January 2022?	Binary
82.831	How many successful test flights will the Mars Helicopter, Ingenuity, complete within 31 days of its first flight attempt?	Continuous
82.705	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims (in thousands) filed in September 2021?	Continuous
82.453	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in July 2021?	Continuous
81.487	How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	Continuous
81.402	Will there be at least 1,000 Ebola deaths in 2021?	Binary
81.242	When will the Novavax SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?	Continuous
81.116	Will more than 1,000 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	Binary
81.094	Will U.S. military troops still be in Afghanistan on 2021-05-01?	Binary
80.173	What will the total retail sales including food services be for July 2021?	Continuous
79.569	What will the total retail sales including food services be for August 2021?	Continuous
79.346	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for September 2021?	Continuous
79.243	How big will the Trade Signal Tournament prize pool be on 2021-09-30?	Continuous
78.902	When will 32 million people in the UK have received a dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?	Continuous
78.192	Will more than 10,000 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired from Palestine at Israel in 2021?	Binary
77.762	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in July 2021?	Continuous
77.331	Will Donald Trump be outside of the United States on 2021-01-20?	Binary
76.073	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in April 2021?	Continuous
75.440	What will the largest 7-day average number of newly confirmed COVID-19 cases in the UK be, by June 1st, 2021	Continuous
75.153	Will the UK have a 7 day rolling average above 2,000 covid deaths before June?	Binary
74.900	Will the University of California Berkeley be primarily in-person for Fall 2021?	Binary
74.169	When will 25% of the US population be vaccinated against Covid-19?	Continuous
74.116	Will at least 5 Republican Congresspeople join another party before 2022?	Binary
73.846	Will Fluvoxamine receive authorization for treatment of Covid by the United States FDA before 2022?	Binary
73.396	What will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Hispanic Virginians be in July 2021?	Continuous
73.203	Will Magnus Carlsen retain the Chess World Championship for a fifth time?	Binary
73.156	What will the total retail sales including food services be for September 2021?	Continuous
72.921	Will Silvio Berlusconi be elected to the Presidency of the Italian Republic in the next election?	Binary
72.776	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in June 2021?	Continuous
72.355	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Private Sector WPI for Q3 2021?	Continuous
72.064	What will the percent of Virginia's population vaccinated with at least one dose be on 1 August 2021?	Continuous
71.733	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in August 2021?	Continuous
71.727	Will the Supreme Court grant a writ of certiorari to a case challenging the male-only draft as unconstitutional on the grounds of sex-discrimination by the end of 2021?	Binary
71.659	What will be the 7-day rolling average for Covid-19 vaccines given on April 1st in the United States?	Continuous
71.313	What will be the total stock of crude oil and other petroleum products for May 2021?	Continuous
70.852	When will 100M people in the US have received at least one dose of COVID vaccine?	Continuous
70.678	How many people will be employed in the US manufacturing industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	Continuous
70.672	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in June 2021?	Continuous
70.302	What will Trump's approval rating be on 18-Jan-2021?	Continuous
70.154	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in April 2021?	Continuous
70.025	Will the U.S. default on its debt before 1 November 2021?	Binary
69.889	Will medical practices overtake pharmacies in total vaccines administered by channel in Virginia prior to 1 July 2021?	Binary
69.863	Will LDP continue to govern Japan after the 2021 general election?	Binary
69.124	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in May 2021?	Continuous
68.333	Will GameStop (GME) reach a stock price of $1000 by 11:59 pm, 20 February 2021?	Binary
68.192	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in May 2021?	Continuous
68.136	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for July 2021?	Continuous
67.849	What will be the total stock of crude oil and other petroleum products for March 2021?	Continuous
67.474	What will be the total stock of crude oil and other petroleum products for April 2021?	Continuous
67.322	Will the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in the European Union exceed that for the United States in 2021?	Binary
67.205	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (less energy and food) for March 2021?	Continuous
66.978	Will a member of Congress be charged during 2021 with a felony in connection with the Capitol riot?	Binary
66.811	In the March 2021 Knesset election, will Likud win a plurality of seats?	Binary
66.616	Will there be a 7.0 or larger earthquake either somewhere under or within 81 Kilometres the Eastern Mediterranean Sea in 2021?	Binary
66.073	How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions from December 2020 to the following dates? (January 2022)	Continuous
65.753	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in August 2021?	Continuous
65.594	What will be the % prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 variants thought to partially escape immunity for the two-week period 23 May - 05 June 2021?	Continuous
65.324	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in September 2021?	Continuous
65.254	Will debris from the Long March 5B core stage cause injuries or property damage?	Binary
64.969	[Short-fuse] Before 16 December 2021, will the U.S. reimpose a Presidential Proclamation restricting travel from the European Schengen Area?	Binary
64.508	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for August 2021?	Continuous
63.311	What will be the percentage of the 5-11 year olds vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 31st, 2021?	Continuous
63.149	For the month of July 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
62.302	Will the PlayStation 5 sell more units than the Nintendo Switch in 2021?	Binary
61.980	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in June 2021?	Continuous
61.900	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 26th of November, 2021?	Continuous
61.859	What will be the cumulative number of people who have received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the U.S. on 2021-04-30?	Continuous
60.838	What will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Black Virginians be in July 2021?	Continuous
60.077	Will Próspera's population in 2021 be larger than 1,000?	Binary
60.061	What will be the 7-day rolling average for Covid-19 vaccines given on May 1st in the United States?	Continuous
59.956	When will the first successful launch of a Starship second stage that has been flown once before occur?	Continuous
59.598	When will 150 million Americans be vaccinated against COVID-19?	Continuous
59.509	[short fuse] Will Trump be impeached and convicted by the Senate in 2021?	Binary
59.442	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between Dec 3rd, 2021 and February 25th, 2022?	Continuous
59.157	By 23 November 2021 will the US Supreme Court overturn any part of President Biden's executive order requiring federal workers to be vaccinated against COVID-19?	Binary
58.406	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for July 2021?	Continuous
58.039	For the month of June 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
58.015	What factor should the median 4-week-ahead COVIDhub Ensemble forecast made on 4 Jan(a forecast for the 24-30 Jan week) be multiplied by so that it equals the reported number of new US incident deaths?	Continuous
57.941	What will be the EIA crude oil stock change for commercial crude oil inventories in August 2021?	Continuous
57.149	Will the UK's third wave of COVID-19 exceed 250 deaths/day?	Binary
57.066	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in June 2021?	Continuous
57.059	Will the Fed raise the RRR this year?	Binary
57.013	According to COVIDcast survey results reported by the UVA Biocomplexity Institute on 1 October 2021, what percentage of Virginians will be “vaccine accepting”?	Continuous
56.687	By 31 December 2021, will any Chinese People's Liberation Army Air Force aircraft enter Taiwan's airspace without authorization?	Binary
56.540	What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-05-30 and ending on 2021-06-05 (inclusive)?	Continuous
56.432	Will Joe Biden hold the office of US President between 2021-12-24 and 2022-01-01?	Binary
56.354	Will at least 2 US diplomats die or be captured in the evacuation of Kabul?	Binary
56.071	Will Tether collapse by the end of 2021?	Binary
55.928	What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2021?	Continuous
55.683	What will the US Q3 2021 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?	Continuous
55.608	What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be on 2022-01-14?	Continuous
55.448	Will San Francisco issue a health order banning all restaurant indoor dining anytime between 2021-07-01 and 2021-12-31?	Binary
53.244	Will restrictions on household mixing be in effect in England on 25 December 2021?	Binary
53.124	Will US real GDP growth in 2021 set a new record for any previous year in the 21st century?	Binary
53.119	In 2021 will the European Commission suspend all EU mink farming, including breeding, and all in-country and cross-border transportation of live mink and their raw pelts?	Binary
53.112	Will Rep Marjorie Taylor Greene (R, GA-14) be expelled or resign by 2022?	Binary
52.879	In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new COVID-19 testing encounters on 1 August 2021?	Continuous
52.862	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Private Sector WPI for Q2 2021?	Continuous
51.800	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in Germany on 2021-07-01?	Continuous
51.485	By 31 December 2021 will General Mark Milley stop serving as the 20th Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff?	Binary
51.379	What will be the EIA crude oil stock change for commercial crude oil inventories in September 2021?	Continuous
50.996	Will ≥3 million Americans be locked down because of B117 by March 11th, 2021?	Binary
50.200	Will a DNA-sequencing read-length record of over 5,000,000 bases be achieved before January 1st, 2022?	Binary
49.978	By 31 December 2021 will any hospital in the US have an official policy to triage COVID patients based on vaccination status?	Binary
49.673	By 2022, Will at least one abortion ban currently blocked by US federal courts go into effect?	Binary
49.276	What percentage of Virginia’s 18-24 age group will be fully vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 by 1 October 2021?	Continuous
48.637	Short-fuse: Will Kyle Rittenhouse be convicted on any pending felony charges in connection to the 2020 Kenosha unrest before 2022?	Binary
48.528	Will Russia annex Ukrainian territory before 2022?	Binary
48.516	What percentage of Virginia’s population will have received a booster dose as of 4 January 2022?	Continuous
48.081	When will the percent of Virginia's population vaccinated with at least one dose reach 75%?	Continuous
47.945	Will Elizabeth Holmes be convicted on fraud charges related to Theranos before 2023?	Binary
47.429	How many Virginians (thousands) will be employed in leisure and hospitality services in December 2021?	Continuous
47.344	What percentage of the US will be at least partially vaccinated against COVID-19 on March 1, 2022?	Continuous
47.182	[Short-fuse] Will Donald Trump cease to be President before the 2021/01/20 inauguration?	Binary
46.851	Will Stripe be the largest public offering worldwide in 2021 by valuation?	Binary
46.368	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2021 California recall election?	Binary
46.356	Will Andrew Cuomo be governor of New York on June 30, 2021?	Binary
46.262	How many e-prints on multi-modal learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-12-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	Continuous
46.255	What will be the number of new incident U.S. adult and pediatric admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-05-30 and ending on 2021-06-05 (inclusive)?	Continuous
46.224	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 31st, 2021?	Continuous
46.152	Will President Trump be relieved of his duties under section four of the Twenty-fifth Amendment before inauguration day?	Binary
45.846	What percentage of Virginia's overall population will be fully vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 on 1 October 2021?	Continuous
45.546	What will be the Industrial Production Index number for March 2021?	Continuous
45.324	What will be the EIA crude oil stock change for commercial crude oil inventories in June 2021?	Continuous
45.283	[Short Fuse] Will SpaceX's SN10 Starship prototype vehicle land successfully?	Binary
45.132	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in May 2021?	Continuous
44.769	When will 30 Kalshi markets be open to the general public for trading?	Continuous
44.743	When will the cumulative number of COVID-19 vaccination doses administered per 100 people exceed 50 in The Netherlands?	Continuous
44.609	Will the Israeli Knesset pass a budget by November 30th?	Binary
44.533	What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-01-24 and ending on 2021-01-30 (inclusive)?	Continuous
43.921	What will be the cumulative number of people who are fully vaccinated against COVID-19 in the US on 2021-05-31?	Continuous
43.827	Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in the US in before 1 March 2021?	Binary
43.561	How many people in the UK will have received a dose of a COVID-19 vaccine by 15th February?	Continuous
43.375	Will vaccinated American citizens be allowed to enter Canada for discretionary travel by June 1st, 2021?	Binary
43.319	How many variants of concern will be monitored by the US CDC as of 4 April?	Continuous
43.099	Will Israel and Saudi Arabia establish official diplomatic relations in 2021?	Binary
42.648	What will the VIX Index be on July's Non-Farm Payroll release date after closing?	Continuous
42.165	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Public Sector WPI for Q3 2021?	Continuous
42.058	What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates? (Jan-2022)	Continuous
42.044	Will NASA issue a second fully-funded award for its Human Landing System contract before 2022?	Binary
41.819	What will the total retail sales including food services be for June 2021?	Continuous
41.338	Will Apple release a new iMac based on Apple silicon in 2021?	Binary
41.238	Will implementation of measures more severe than those in “Plan B” be announced in the UK before 1 February 2022?	Binary
40.413	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in May 2021?	Continuous
40.281	Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2021?	Binary
40.128	What percentage of Virginia’s 12-15 age group will be fully vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 by 1 October 2021?	Continuous
39.724	What proportion of last-round votes will Andrew Yang get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election?	Continuous
38.192	When will there be a verdict in the Derek Chauvin trial?	Continuous
37.875	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in July 2021?	Continuous
37.508	Will more than 400 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	Binary
37.300	What will be the number of new incident U.S. adult and pediatric admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-06-27 and ending on 2021-07-03 (inclusive)?	Continuous
37.249	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2021 NBA championship?	Binary
37.081	Will CD PROJEKT (WSE:CDR) reach its previous All Time High price of zł464.20 in 2021?	Binary
36.987	What will be the total number of new incident U.S. adult and pediatric admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-02-21 and ending on 2021-02-27 (inclusive)?	Continuous
36.460	[Short-fuse] What will the % per-day growth rate advantage of Omicron relative to Delta be based on information available as of 23 December?	Continuous
36.422	Will at least 3 Basic Income pilots be launched in 2021?	Binary
36.051	How many emoji related court cases in 2021?	Continuous
35.843	What will be the lowest closing value for the E-Mini S&P 500 Future Continuous Contract in September?	Continuous
35.529	What will the total retail sales including food services be for May 2021?	Continuous
35.450	How much will Open Philanthropy grant in their focus area of Potential Risks from Advanced Artificial Intelligence in 2021?	Continuous
35.424	Will the subreddit /r/wallstreetbets be banned before Jan 1st, 2022?	Binary
35.258	When will 50% of the US population be vaccinated against Covid-19?	Continuous
35.214	When will the escaped Maryland Zebras be caught?	Continuous
35.212	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 17th of December, 2021?	Continuous
34.847	Will the price of Brent crude oil exceed $70 in 2021?	Binary
34.497	What will be the market capitalization of Robinhood 2 weeks after going public?	Continuous
34.403	How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in 2021?	Continuous
34.327	Will scientists conclude that delaying SARS-CoV2 vaccines second dose did or would have saved lives?	Binary
34.126	What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2022-01-14?	Continuous
34.121	Will the peak reported daily deaths per capita from the COVID Delta variant wave be worse in the UK than the US?	Binary
33.745	What will be the cumulative number of people who receive one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-06-30?	Continuous
33.222	What will be the total number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-02-21 and ending on 2021-02-27 (inclusive)?	Continuous
33.051	Will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be issued an emergency use authorization by the US FDA within a week after the 26 February VRBPAC meeting?	Binary
32.862	Will Tesla become the world's most valuable publicly-traded company before 2023?	Binary
32.535	Will Blizzard announce new content for StarCraft as a response to advances in AI in 2021?	Binary
32.047	[Short-fuse] Will implementation of measures more severe than those in “Plan B” be announced in the UK before 1 January 2022?	Binary
31.050	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between November 12th, 2021 and February 4th, 2022?	Continuous
30.666	What will be the Industrial Production Index number for April 2021?	Continuous
30.477	How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	Continuous
30.410	What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2022-01-14?	Continuous
30.051	For the month of March 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
29.760	What will be the percentage of the 5-11 year olds vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 10th, 2021?	Continuous
29.282	What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-06-27 and ending on 2021-07-03 (inclusive)?	Continuous
28.866	When will Paxlovid be given an EUA from the FDA?	Continuous
28.747	How many new COVID-19 outbreaks will occur in Virginian long-term care facilities before 1 August 2022?	Continuous
28.592	What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in Australia by the end of 2021?	Continuous
28.394	What will be the number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-03-21 and ending on 2021-03-27 (inclusive)?	Continuous
28.283	How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	Continuous
27.954	When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the U.S. FDA for children under 12 years old?	Continuous
27.938	How many members will the next Bundestag have?	Continuous
27.732	Will the UK experience a third wave of the coronavirus pandemic in 2021?	Binary
27.684	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for June 2021?	Continuous
27.596	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Public Sector WPI for Q2 2021?	Continuous
27.182	How many of Virginia’s four-year public institutions will require that students get a COVID vaccine for the 2021-2022 academic year?	Continuous
27.061	Will UK festival Shambala take place in August 2021?	Binary
25.795	What will be the cumulative number of people who receive one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-03-31?	Continuous
25.319	Will Sweden have an extra election before 2022?	Binary
25.258	Will a vacancy on the Supreme Court of the United States arise in 2021?	Binary
24.753	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next leader of the Swedish Social Democratic Party?	Binary
24.294	What will be the percentage of the population vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 10th, 2021?	Continuous
23.909	When will the third SpaceX Starship flight be?	Continuous
23.853	By 1 November 2021 will the US Senate pass a bill extending the Child Tax Credit?	Binary
23.600	What will Elon Musk's total net worth be at the end of 2021?	Continuous
22.949	What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 October 2021?	Continuous
22.586	What will be the number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-06-27 and ending on 2021-07-03 (inclusive)?	Continuous
22.525	Will restaurant reservations and consumer spending outside the home go back to normal in the US in 2021?	Binary
22.378	How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	Continuous
22.268	What will be the 7-day rolling average for Covid-19 vaccines given on March 1st in the United States?	Continuous
22.193	Will the 7-day rolling average of COVID vaccine doses administered in the US exceed 3M in 2021?	Binary
21.873	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 10th, 2021?	Continuous
21.535	What will be the EIA crude oil stock change for commercial crude oil inventories in July 2021?	Continuous
21.195	When will a SpaceX Starship be intact 24 hours after flying?	Continuous
21.141	What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-02-21 and ending on 2021-02-27 (inclusive)?	Continuous
21.130	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between December 3rd, 2021 and February 25th, 2022?	Continuous
20.966	What will be percentage of population will indicate they are "vaccine accepting" in Virginia on 21 August?	Continuous
20.511	Will more than 4,500 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired from Palestine at Israel in 2021?	Binary
20.195	What will be the cumulative number of people who receive two doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-03-31?	Continuous
20.040	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between December 3rd, 2021 and February 25th, 2022?	Continuous
19.650	What will be the cumulative number of people who have received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the U.S. on 2021-02-28?	Continuous
19.463	What will be the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 variants thought to partially escape immunity for the two-week period 20 June - 03 July 2021?	Continuous
19.290	What will be the 7-day moving average of the percentage of people wearing masks in Virginia on 18 September?	Continuous
19.278	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for June 2021?	Continuous
19.207	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by CBP for the months of August to December 2021?	Continuous
18.257	Will the United States House of Representatives expel, censure, and/or reprimand a House Member before September 3, 2022?	Binary
18.197	What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, at 2022-01-14 in accuracy?	Continuous
18.068	What will be the cumulative number of people who receive one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-05-31?	Continuous
18.038	When will most people in England be legally able to meet socially in a group of six in private indoor places?	Continuous
17.987	Will Erin O'Toole win the 2021 Canadian federal election?	Binary
17.786	What will be the number of new incident U.S. adult and pediatric admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-03-21 and ending on 2021-03-27 (inclusive)?	Continuous
17.777	When will most people in England be able to meet socially in a group of six in public outdoor places?	Continuous
17.686	Will the US Supreme Court rule the vaccine and testing mandate for companies larger than 100 employees unconstitutional before the end of 2021?	Binary
17.128	What will be the 7-day moving average of percent positivity by lab report date in Virginia on 11 September?	Continuous
17.041	What will be the 7-day moving average of vaccine doses administered in Virginia on 21 August?	Continuous
17.040	When will the UK’s pre-March 2022 peak 7-day moving average of current COVID hospitalizations occur?	Continuous
17.004	What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-03-21 and ending on 2021-03-27 (inclusive)?	Continuous
16.765	Will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be issued an emergency use authorization by the US FDA before 2022?	Binary
16.742	How many excess deaths will the United States experience during COVID-19 (March 8th 2020 through December 31st 2021)?	Continuous
16.721	What will be the 7-day moving average of vaccine doses administered in Virginia on 18 September?	Continuous
16.682	What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2022-01-14?	Continuous
16.673	When will the fifth SpaceX Starship flight be?	Continuous
16.634	What will be the 7-day moving average of the percentage of people wearing masks in Virginia on 21 August?	Continuous
16.319	When will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?	Continuous
15.995	What will be the 7-day moving average of percent positivity by lab report date in Virginia on 28 August?	Continuous
15.779	What will be the 7-day moving average of the percentage of people wearing masks in Virginia on 11 September?	Continuous
15.741	What will be the 7-day rolling average of the % B.1.1.7 in the US on 27 March 2021 (between 21 March 2021 and 27 March 2021)?	Continuous
15.540	How many ratings will Toby Ord's book The Precipice have on Amazon on January 1st 2022?	Continuous
15.491	What will be the 7-day moving average of PCR percent positivity by lab report date in Virginia on 18 September?	Continuous
15.460	When will another SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Delta as the dominant variant in Virginia?	Continuous
15.125	Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?	Binary
14.958	Will this question be mentioned in an Astral Codex Ten Post in 2021?	Binary
14.837	What percentage of final round votes will Sadiq Khan win in the 2021 London mayoral election?	Continuous
14.354	What will be the price of gas on Ethereum one week after EIP-1559?	Continuous
14.206	What will be the 7-day moving average of percent positivity by lab report date in Virginia on 21 August?	Continuous
14.007	Will Israel hold a second national election for Knesset in 2021?	Binary
13.900	Will an Australian Federal Election be held in 2021?	Binary
13.890	On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average proportion of those polled who approve of Biden's presidency exceed 50.0%?	Binary
13.881	What will be the 7-day moving average of the percentage of people wearing masks in Virginia on 28 August?	Continuous
13.504	Will the U.S. Federal government declare a water shortage in the U.S. in 2021?	Binary
13.340	What will be the final asking price of Roblox stock at the end of its first trading day?	Continuous
13.286	What will be percentage of population will indicate they are "vaccine accepting" in Virginia on 28 August?	Continuous
13.264	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-10-01?	Continuous
13.070	Will there be a cease-fire or peace agreement in the Yemeni Civil War in 2021?	Binary
12.656	How many people will be employed in the US healthcare/social assistance industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	Continuous
12.575	How much will the US market of plant-based meat grow in 2021 with respect to the previous year?	Continuous
12.246	How many of Virginia's 35 local health districts will be described as being "in surge" in UVA modeling slides dated 20 August?	Continuous
12.230	[Short fuse] How many new coronavirus cases will the United States report for the week ending August 14th?	Continuous
12.097	In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases on 1 August 2021?	Continuous
11.980	What will be the peak in weekly CLI visits (count) in Virginia before 1 August 2022?	Continuous
11.937	What will be the 7-day moving average of vaccine doses administered in Virginia on 28 August?	Continuous
11.889	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-07-01?	Continuous
11.785	What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable deaths before 1 October 2021?	Continuous
11.369	Will the MOVE Index breach 70 before 11-01-21?	Binary
11.323	Will Evergrande default on its debt before the end of 2021?	Binary
10.923	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on 18 September?	Continuous
10.479	What percentage of Virginians will have received a booster dose for COVID-19 vaccine by end of 2021?	Continuous
10.314	Will the Substack Slow Boring exceed 10,000 paid subscribers in 2021?	Binary
9.767	When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 500?	Continuous
9.464	Will the US have more than 200,000 daily COVID-19 cases (7-day average) before January 1, 2022?	Binary
9.324	Will the question asking whether Scott will mention it on Astral Codex Ten resolve ambiguously?	Binary
8.943	By 2021-11-01 will the US FDA approve a COVID-19 vaccine for children aged 5-11?	Binary
8.897	What will be the cumulative number of people who are fully vaccinated against COVID-19 in the US on 2021-06-30?	Continuous
8.704	When will Taiwan reduce COVID restrictions from Level 3?	Continuous
8.508	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on 28 August?	Continuous
8.205	What will be the percent of S:N501 sequences in the U.S. among all positive SARS-CoV-2 samples submitted to the GISAID database of genetic sequences between 2021-03-29 and 2021-04-04 (inclusive)?	Continuous
8.071	What will be the 7-day moving average of the percentage of people wearing masks in Virginia on 14 January 2022?	Continuous
7.784	Will Median Bay Area House Prices decline by >= 5% in 2021?	Binary
7.784	Will implementation of “Plan B” be announced in the UK before 1 February 2022?	Binary
7.373	What will be the case-to-hospitalization rate in Virginia on 28 August?	Continuous
7.166	When will the US-EU border reopen?	Continuous
6.824	What will be the percent of S:N501 sequences in the U.S. among all positive SARS-CoV-2 samples submitted to the GISAID database of genetic sequences between 2021-03-01 and 2021-03-07 (inclusive)?	Continuous
6.429	What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 October 2021?	Continuous
6.242	Will a new State of Emergency in response to COVID be declared in Virginia before 1 October 2021?	Binary
6.235	On what date will the number of people currently hospitalized in the US due to COVID-19 first fall below 30k?	Continuous
5.406	What will be the percentage of the population in Virginia indicating they are "vaccine accepting" on 14 January 2022?	Continuous
5.310	Will there be a renewal of intense fighting in the Donbass this summer?	Binary
5.247	When will Singapore reopen for quarantine-free international travel?	Continuous
5.237	What will be the number of K-12 outbreaks in Virginia for the week of 9/12-9/18?	Continuous
5.132	Will Biden pass an infrastructure package in 2021?	Binary
4.963	What will be the sum of the performance (in exaFLOPS) of the top 500 supercomputers in the following dates? (November 2021)	Continuous
4.752	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between November 12th, 2021 and February 4th, 2022?	Continuous
4.361	Will the US experience a 4th wave of COVID before June 1, 2021?	Binary
4.211	Will EA Global London 2021 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again?	Binary
4.117	Will the University of Pennsylvania send undergraduates back home this semester?	Binary
3.922	How many of Virginia's 35 local health districts will be described as being "in surge" in UVA modeling slides dated 27 August?	Continuous
3.659	What will be the case-to-hospitalization rate in Virginia on 21 August?	Continuous
3.547	When will the Taliban take Kabul?	Continuous
3.364	Will the Fed announce a slow-down in bond purchases from the current $120 billion per month before Jan. 1, 2022?	Binary
3.345	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between November 12th, 2021 and February 4th, 2022?	Continuous
3.235	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on 21 August?	Continuous
2.971	When will the second SpaceX Starship flight be?	Continuous
2.131	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 10th of December, 2021?	Continuous
1.972	Will a new statewide indoor mask mandate for schools be declared in Virginia before 1 October 2021?	Binary
1.955	Will Sci-Hub be adding new articles again before the end of 2021?	Binary
1.912	Will Pedro Castillo win the second round of the Peru 2021 presidential election?	Binary
1.898	On what date will the New York Times COVID-19 tracker for New York City assess the risk as "medium"?	Continuous
0.996	In the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election, what will be the percentage difference of the vote for McAuliffe over Youngkin?	Continuous
0.888	How much interest will the 2021 US Government report on UAPs generate?	Continuous
0.854	How many of Virginia's 35 local health districts will be described as being "in surge" in UVA modeling slides posted 10 September?	Continuous
0.488	When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable deaths occur?	Continuous
0.218	Will more than half of the remaining trades in the Trade Signal tournament make money?	Binary
0.166	Will there be a bilateral cease-fire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2022?	Binary
0.132	When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine receive full BLA approval by the U.S. FDA?	Continuous
-	Will the Pentagon report on UAPs dispute secret technology or aliens as explanations?	Binary
-	Will the VIX Index reach 15 or below before 9-01-21?	Binary
-	Will Aubrey de Grey be terminated or resign from the SENS Research Foundation by 2022?	Binary
-0.081	When will the U.S. CDC recommend that at least some fully vaccinated Americans receive a booster dose?	Continuous
-0.461	Will Andrew M. Cuomo still be governor of New York on 31 December 2021?	Binary
-0.521	What will be the number of K-12 outbreaks in Virginia for the week of 9/5-9/11?	Continuous
-1.425	When will COVID booster doses be available to all adults in the UK?	Continuous
-1.585	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in March 2021?	Continuous
-2.177	Will Biden’s Build Back Better Budget include a requirement for banks to report financial data on accounts receiving sufficiently large deposits?	Binary
-2.813	How many variants of concern will be monitored by the US CDC as of 2021–03-07?	Continuous
-2.907	Will more than half of the remaining forecasts in the Trade Signal tournament that correspond to trades be on the correct side of the consensus?	Binary
-3.281	What percentage of 5-11 year olds in Virginia will have received at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine by end of 2021?	Continuous
-3.355	What will be official attendance at the 2021 University of Virginia vs Virginia Tech football game?	Continuous
-3.465	Will the US have more than 6000 daily COVID-19 hospitalizations (7-day rolling average) before 1 January 2022?	Binary
-3.615	What will be the Hue (in angular degrees) of Pantone's Color of the Year for 2022?	Continuous
-6.318	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on 11 September?	Continuous
-6.382	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between November 12th, 2021 and February 4th, 2022?	Continuous
-8.477	How many of Virginia's 35 local health districts will be described as being "in surge" in UVA modeling slides posted 17 September?	Continuous
-8.548	Will Taylor Swift release a new album in 2021?	Binary
-8.802	How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	Continuous
-9.109	When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases occur?	Continuous
-9.137	Short Fuse: How much will the winning bidder pay to go to space with Jeff Bezos?	Continuous
-9.683	Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2022?	Binary
-9.818	Will the UK Conservative Party win the 2021 Batley and Spen by-election?	Binary
-9.907	What will be the 7-day moving average of vaccine doses administered in Virginia on 25 September?	Continuous
-10.121	What will be the cumulative number of deaths due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31 if less than 50% of Americans initiate vaccination (1st dose received) with a COVID-19 vaccine by 2021-03-01?	Continuous
-10.886	Will Brazil have a 7-day rolling average above 2,000 COVID-19 deaths before 1 June 2021?	Binary
-10.926	Will the US implement any of Alex Tabarrok's vaccine suggestions?	Binary
-11.899	Will the Trade Signal tournament prize pool increase as a result of trading?	Binary
-12.583	[short fuse] Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LV?	Binary
-12.954	Will at least one SARS-CoV-2 vaccines be granted emergency use authorization by the U.S. FDA for children under 12 years old before 1 September 2021?	Binary
-13.279	Will GB rowing men's team win a sweep gold at Tokyo 2020?	Binary
-14.332	When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations occur?	Continuous
-14.346	Will Charity Entrepreneurship launch a family planning charity as part of its 2021 incubation program?	Binary
-16.787	What will be the number of new U.S. adult and pediatric previous day admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-01-24 and ending on 2021-01-30 (inclusive)?	Continuous
-17.251	Will India's GDP grow in all first three quarters of 2021?	Binary
-18.633	Will most of the Quad/Five Eyes countries diplomatically boycott the 2022 Winter Olympics?	Binary
-20.176	What will the % change of sexually transmitted infections diagnoses in England from 2019 to 2020 be?	Continuous
-20.768	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in April 2021?	Continuous
-21.737	What will the total retail sales including food services be for March 2021?	Continuous
-22.642	Will Tigrayan-aligned forces cut off the A1 trunk route (Addis Ababa to Djibouti) by year's end?	Binary
-26.427	What will the total retail sales including food services be for April 2021?	Continuous
-26.730	What will be the UK’s peak 7-day moving average of current COVID hospitalizations before 1 March 2022?	Continuous
-28.012	What will the monthly unemployment rate for December 2021 be?	Continuous
-28.463	On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average of polls indicate that Joe Biden has a higher approval than disapproval rating?	Binary
-28.807	When will the 2020 PhilPapers Survey results be publicly available?	Continuous
-29.924	Will United States military troops be in Afghanistan on 2021-10-7?	Binary
-30.979	How many US southwest land border encounters will be reported by CBP for the month of May?	Continuous
-31.147	Will all local health districts in Virginia either be in declining or plateau trajectories OR report fewer than 5 cases per 100k residents per week for 3 consecutive weeks prior to 1 September 2021?	Binary
-31.895	How many billions of dollars will wildfires in the US in 2021 cost?	Continuous
-32.224	What will be the 5-week average of initial jobless claims filed in April 2021?	Continuous
-32.432	What will be the number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-05-30 and ending on 2021-06-05 (inclusive)?	Continuous
-32.941	Will the CDU continue to govern Germany after the 2021 elections?	Binary
-32.946	What will be the market capitalization for Astra Space (ASTR) two weeks after going public?	Continuous
-38.110	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for September 2021?	Continuous
-38.869	What will be the number of new confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-01-24 and ending on 2021-01-30 (inclusive)?	Continuous
-42.169	Will EU Member States or the Members of the European Parliament reject the ratification of EU-Mercosur agreement in 2021?	Binary
-42.735	When will Sabaton release their tenth album?	Continuous
-42.845	What will be the cumulative number of deaths in the US due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31?	Continuous
-43.204	In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new COVID-19 testing encounters on 1 October 2021?	Continuous
-45.199	When will WeRide begin testing their autonomous and fully driverless taxis in California?	Continuous
-47.135	Will sufficient SARS-CoV-2 vaccine supply for all U.S. adults be allocated by 31 May 2021?	Binary
-48.198	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in September 2021?	Continuous
-48.416	Will the Democratic candidate win the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election?	Binary
-48.894	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by CBP for the month of July?	Continuous
-51.115	How many UC Berkeley undergraduates will test positive for covid this semester?	Continuous
-55.412	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 cases?	Continuous
-57.415	Will Derek Chauvin be convicted of homicide by June 1 2021?	Binary
-57.943	Will Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel following the Israeli legislative election of 2021?	Binary
-61.846	Will the US have more than 1000 daily COVID-19 deaths (7-day rolling average) before 1 January 2022?	Binary
-66.292	Will variants of concerns thought to partially escape immunity make up more than 50% of samples sequenced in Virginia on 29 August - 11 September 2021?	Binary
-68.420	Will none of Trump's immediate family be indicted in 2021?	Binary
-72.319	What will be the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU on the following dates? (Jan-2022)	Continuous
-73.414	Will Apple fail to deliver a new Mac Pro based on Apple silicon in 2021?	Binary
-73.629	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (less energy and food) for May 2021?	Continuous
-73.968	What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be at 2022-01-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%)?	Continuous
-78.318	How many at-risk Nigerian states will experience Islamic State attacks in the next six months?	Continuous
-80.997	Will Charity Entrepreneurship launch a charity fortifying feed for hens as part of its 2021 incubation program?	Binary
-88.777	When will the US-Canada border reopen?	Continuous
-91.268	What will the highest level of annualised core US CPI growth be, in 2021, according to U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data?	Continuous
-91.896	Will the US unemployment rate stay above 5% through November 2021?	Binary
-93.326	What will be the cumulative number of deaths in the US due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31?	Continuous
-96.074	When will the U.S. lift its Presidential Proclamation restricting travel from the U.K.?	Continuous
-99.084	How much will the highest-paid dead celebrity earn in 2021, according to Forbes?	Continuous
-103.220	What will be the percent of B.1.1.7 among all S gene dropout SARS-CoV-2 samples submitted for genomic sequencing surveillance in the US between 2021-02-01 and 2021-02-15?	Continuous
-103.942	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 31st of December, 2021?	Continuous
-106.174	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in August 2021?	Continuous
-113.020	Will US poverty be higher in November 2021 than it was in November 2020?	Binary
-115.055	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (less energy and food) for April 2021?	Continuous
-121.367	What will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Asian and Pacific Islander Virginians be in July 2021?	Continuous
-126.171	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 28th of January, 2022?	Continuous
-145.584	What will the state-of-the-art object detection performance on COCO be, at 2022-01-14 in box average precision (box AP)?	Continuous
-149.162	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 7th of January, 2022?	Continuous
-163.238	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between December 3rd, 2021 and February 25th, 2022?	Continuous
-184.808	When will a SpaceX Super Heavy Booster fly?	Continuous
-187.380	What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2022-01-14 in top-1 accuracy?	Continuous
-190.839	What will be the state-of-the-art language modelling performance (in perplexity) on WikiText-103 by the following dates? (Jan 14, 2022)	Continuous
-191.167	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on One Billion Word be on 2022-01-14, in perplexity?	Continuous
-203.323	When will government guidance allow indoor parties of any 100 people in England?	Continuous
-218.926	When will the world pass 1 million daily COVID cases for the seven day moving average	Continuous
-218.959	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 deaths?	Continuous
-218.962	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 hospitalizations?	Continuous
-303.057	Will there be an episode of The Simpsons with an IMDb rating ≥ 8/10 before 2022?	Binary