Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.

Question

Will Pete Hegseth be removed as Defense Secretary by September 1, 2025?

Total Forecasters5
Community Prediction
65%
(25% - 72%)

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50%
community: 65%
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Opened:Apr 25, 2025
Closes:Aug 16, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 16, 2025