Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.
Question
Will any model achieve a 40%+ performance on Humanity’s Last Exam by September 1, 2025?
Total Forecasters7
Community Prediction
20%
(15% - 33%)
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 25, 2025
Closes:Aug 15, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 15, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Apr 25, 2025
Closes:Aug 15, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 15, 2025