Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.

Question

Will OpenAI release o4 or o5-mini/o5-mini-high by September 1, 2025?

Total Forecasters6
Community Prediction
81%
(69% - 85%)

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50%
community: 81%
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Opened:Apr 25, 2025
Closes:Aug 15, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 15, 2025