Contributed by the Harvard's AI Safety Student Team community.
Question
How likely do you think it is that overall, the impact of High Level Machine Intelligence will be extremely negative for humanity in the long run?
Resolved:AnnulledTotal Forecasters1
Community Prediction
82.5
(67.5 - 92.3)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 67.47 | — |
| median | 82.55 | — |
| upper 75% | 92.3 | — |
What was the final result?Annulled
Authors:
Opened:Feb 9, 2025
Closes:Feb 17, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 17, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Feb 9, 2025
Closes:Feb 17, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 17, 2025