Contributed by the Harvard's AI Safety Student Team community.
Question
What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?
Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction
1.24
(0.41 - 2.98)
Make a Prediction
CDF
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 0.4097 | — |
| median | 1.243 | — |
| upper 75% | 2.977 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >50 | 0.3% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Feb 9, 2025
Closed:Feb 17, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 17, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Feb 9, 2025
Closed:Feb 17, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 17, 2025