Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community. Learn more

Question

What will be the best performance on OSWorld by December 31st 2025?

2
Closes Dec 31, 2025
2
Community Prediction64.1%69.8%75.5%81.1%Apr 19Apr 23Apr 27May 01May 05May 09May 13May 17May 21May 25May 29Jun 02Jun 06Jun 10Jun 14Jun 18now
Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction
72.3%
(62.9% - 82.3%)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

24.53239.647.154.762.369.877.384.992.5100
QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%62.89%
median72.27%
upper 75%82.27%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Dec 4, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 9, 2024

Comments

2 comments
2

We use cookies 🍪 to understand how you use Metaculus and to improve your experience.

Learn more about how we use cookies in our Privacy Policy