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Adjacent
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lucaskohorst
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Will Perpetual Futures be regulated in the US by 2028?
Yes
90%
No
10%
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
Will either the TurkStream or Blue Stream pipeline unexpectedly cease transporting gas at any point in 2025?
15%
chance
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Pete Hegseth
30.9%
Other Cabinet Member
29.3%
Marco Rubio
10.8%
and 5 others
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
Other Renewables (e.g., solar, wind, biomass)
30.3%
Oil
21.9%
Natural Gas
12.5%
and 3 others
Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?
90%
chance
Will the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes exceed 5% for at least one month in 2025?
5%
chance
Will one of the top 5 largest hedge funds in the U.S. experience a financial blow up in 2025?
9%
chance
U.S. real GDP growth in 2025?
1.6 to 2.0
27.3%
1.1 to 1.5
25.9%
0.6 to 1.0
17%
and 7 others
Will China and the EU Reach a Trade or Tariff Agreement in 2025?
25%
chance
What will the highest level of Bitcoin dominance be in 2025?
60% to 64.9%
45.8%
65% to 67.9%
31.6%
68% to 69.9%
15.3%
and 2 others
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