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Announcing the Winners of the Q1 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

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1 comment1
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Contribute to the Metaculus Cup

5
7 comments7
Metaculus Cup

What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the standard deduction for married couples filing jointly in tax year 2026?

Annulled$

Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

Key Factor

June likely less tariff-focused than May

44%chance

Key Factor

June likely less tariff-focused than May

What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on it's public leaderboard on August 31, 2025?

Will federal legislation be passed before the 2026 midterm elections offering immunity to banks providing financial services to legal marijuana businesses?

10%chance

Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

Key Factor

Verification of India's claim of killing 100+ militants

9%chance

Key Factor

Verification of India's claim of killing 100+ militants

Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit?

Key Factor

soft power gained by inviting new members

Key Factor

soft power gained by inviting new members

Will Harvard University have a Student and Exchange Visitor Program certification on July 1, 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.